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Released
RBA raised the rate from 4.35% to 4.6% (hike). Forecast was the same.
Interest rate is one of the biggest factors affecting a currency's demand. A higher rate increases the return on holding that currency, so the market watches both the decision and hints about the future closely.
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The central bank (RBA) decides what the policy rate (interest rate) will be for the country. This often comes with a statement and press conference. Released by Reserve Bank. This decision comes about 8 times a year (every 6–8 weeks).
Interest rate has the biggest impact on a currency's demand. A higher rate increases the return on holding that currency. This is a High impact event on FxGram: AUD pairs often see sharp moves at this time.
Generally, if the rate is raised (hike) or there is a signal of future hikes, it supports the currency; if cut, the opposite. The market prices in the forecast in advance, so the impact is greater when the decision differs from forecast.
This is just general knowledge (textbook), not a prediction for this release. The market may react differently. This is not buy-sell advice.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.35% | |
| 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% | |
| 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% | |
| 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.1% | |
| 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.85% | |
| 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.6% | |
| 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | |
| 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | |
| 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | |
| 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.85% |
Data: Reserve Bank, via TradingView economic calendar.
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